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Judith Curry

972 bytes added, 20:28, 7 November 2011
SW: →‎2011: Berkeley Earth Project "BEST" dissension: Daily Mail/David Rose publicity
|date=2010-11-03
}}</ref>.
====2011: Berkeley Earth Project "BEST" dissension, and widely publicized claims of "pause"====Curry was a member of the partially-Koch-funded [[Berkeley Earth Project]] temperature reanalysis project headed by former [[global warming skeptic]] [[Richard Muller]], which reanalyzed existing weather station data and found yes, global warming was real. The project FAQ[http://berkeleyearth.org/FAQ.php#stopped] (and a draft paper, on which lists Curry appears in among the list of authors[http://tamino.wordpress.com/2011/11/01/questions-for-judith-curry/#comment-56059]) reported there was no evidence to indicate the rate of global warming had changed in the last decade, but . But despite Curry's having agreed (as evinced by virtue of co-authoringher coauthorship) with this conclusion{{fact}}, [[London Daily Mail]] contrarian (and oft-misrepresenting[http://scienceblogs.com/deltoid/2010/12/rosegate_rose_does_to_data_wha_1.php], [http://scienceblogs.com/deltoid/2010/01/rosegate.php], [http://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article-2055191/Scientists-said-climate-change-sceptics-proved-wrong-accused-hiding-truth-colleague.html]) journalist [[David Rose]] portrayed a vigorously-disagreeing Curry saying, "This is 'hide the decline' stuff. Our data show the pause, just as the other sets of data do. Muller is hiding the decline."<ref name="rosegatecurry">{{cite web|publisher=Deltoid|title=Rosegate: Rose hides the incline|url=http://scienceblogs.com/deltoid/2011/11/rosegate_rose_hides_the_inclin.php|accessdate=2011-11-07|author=Tim Lambert|date=2011-11-01}}</ref>.  Curry said in backtracked somewhat on her blog , saying "The article spun my comments in ways that I never intended"<ref name="rosegatecurry"/>, but didn't step back from "Our data show the pause", and "There has been a lag/slowdown/whatever you want to call it in the rate of temperature increase since 1998."<ref>{{cite web
|publisher=Open Mind
|title=Judith Curry Opens Mouth, Inserts Foot
|author=Tamino (pseudonym)
|date=2011-10-30
}}</ref> When pressed for the scientific basis for this statementthese statements, she Curry admitted the time period was too short for a statistically significant difference to emerge.{{fact}} [[File:RommSkepticsPauses.png|400px|right]] In response Tamino offered a rejoinder: noted, "There is Occam's razor -- ... the simplest hypothesis (namely: the trend hasn't changed) is preferable. Besides which, basing her statement on "It may have stopped since 1998" is really no different than "it may have stopped since last Thursday.""[http://tamino.wordpress.com/2011/11/01/questions-for-judith-curry/#comment-56071]
Eyeballed "pauses" are misleading - in a graph titled "How "Skeptics" View Global Warming", Joe Romm shows that if you see a "pause" in the post-1998 temperature data, you'll also think global warming "paused" at least six times from 1973-2010 - yet the global temperature actually continued to increase.<ref>{{cite web
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